Rain and Thunderstorms Forecast for Northern Regions
Pakistan’s Meteorological Department has predicted rain accompanied by strong winds and thunderstorms in several regions over the next 24 hours. For a detailed weather outlook and regional updates, visit this report on Pakistan’s weather alert. While most of the country will experience dry and hot weather, some areas, particularly in the north, may see intense weather activity.
According to the Met Office, Gilgit-Baltistan, Azad Jammu and Kashmir, and adjoining mountainous regions are likely to witness rain and thunderstorms at scattered locations. Light snowfall is also expected on higher peaks in these areas, marking the early signs of changing seasonal patterns as winter approaches.
Cloudy Conditions in Islamabad and Upper Punjab
In the federal capital, Islamabad, the weather is expected to remain mostly dry but partly cloudy. However, nearby cities including Rawalpindi, Murree, Galyat, Chakwal, Jhelum, Gujrat, Lahore, Sialkot, Narowal, and Wazirabad may experience intermittent rainfall.
The forecast suggests that while rain may not be widespread, localised showers could bring brief relief from the prevailing heat. Murree and Galyat — popular tourist destinations — are likely to see lower temperatures, encouraging a brief influx of visitors seeking cooler conditions.
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Mountainous Areas on Alert
Several districts in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) — including Dir, Chitral, Swat, Kohistan, Shangla, and Battagram — are also expected to experience rain and thunderstorms. These hilly areas are prone to landslides, particularly after heavy rainfall, raising concerns for local communities and travellers.
Authorities in Gilgit-Baltistan and Azad Kashmir have also been advised to stay alert due to the possibility of intense weather activity. The combination of rain, wind, and falling temperatures may disrupt road travel, especially across mountain passes such as Babusar Top and Lowari Pass.
Dry and Hot Weather to Continue in Southern Pakistan
In contrast, most parts of Sindh and inland Balochistan will continue to experience hot and dry weather. The Met Office noted that coastal areas of Balochistan may remain partly cloudy, but no significant rainfall is expected.
Cities such as Karachi, Hyderabad, and Sukkur are likely to record daytime temperatures above 35°C. Meteorologists have advised residents to stay hydrated and avoid direct exposure to sunlight during peak hours.
Recent Rainfall and Ongoing Monitoring
During the past 24 hours, parts of Punjab, Kashmir, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and Gilgit-Baltistan recorded rain accompanied by gusty winds. Heavy downpours were reported in isolated spots, providing temporary respite from the heatwave conditions seen in recent weeks.
Meanwhile, the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) and provincial departments are monitoring weather developments closely. Rainfall in northern catchment areas could influence water levels in rivers and dams, especially as the monsoon season transitions into its final phase.
Flood Warning Issued in Punjab
In light of the expected rain, the Provincial Disaster Management Authority (PDMA) in Punjab has issued an alert about potential flooding. The authority warned that the water level in the Jhelum River, particularly upstream at the Mangla reservoir, is likely to rise in the coming 24 hours.
Officials have warned of a moderate flood situation if heavy rainfall continues in the catchment regions. Local administrations have been instructed to stay on standby and ensure the availability of emergency response teams and equipment.
Broader Climate Context
Pakistan remains highly vulnerable to climate extremes. According to the Global Climate Risk Index, the country ranks among the top ten most affected by climate change in the past two decades. Unpredictable rainfall patterns, heatwaves, and glacial melt continue to pose challenges for agriculture and infrastructure.
Experts stress that improved forecasting and disaster preparedness are essential to mitigate the risks of flash floods and landslides — especially in northern mountainous areas that have seen severe damage in past monsoon seasons.
Outlook
The Met Office expects the current spell of rain to ease by the end of the week, with temperatures rising again in most regions. However, residents in northern areas are advised to exercise caution, avoid unnecessary travel to hilly terrain during thunderstorms, and stay updated through official weather advisories.
As Pakistan moves from late monsoon into early winter, authorities remain vigilant — balancing the benefits of rainfall for water reservoirs against the dangers of sudden flooding and erosion in vulnerable regions.
