Wheat Prices Surge, Driving Flour Costs Higher Across Pakistan

Rising wheat prices are pushing staple food costs upward, sparking concerns over food security and household budgets.

Wheat Prices Reach Record Levels

Bahawalpur, Pakistan – Wheat prices have climbed sharply in local markets, reaching PKR 3,850 per maund (approximately 37 kilograms), according to recent reports from grain markets in southern Punjab. This represents a notable increase from last week, when the same quantity of wheat was priced at PKR 3,700.

Market sources indicate that in some areas outside formal grain markets, wheat prices have surged to PKR 4,000 per maund, despite Punjab recently setting the wheat procurement price at PKR 3,500 per maund, a measure aimed at supporting farmers (read more).

The rise comes amid broader concerns about domestic wheat supply, which has faced challenges due to rising international commodity prices and local supply chain disruptions.

Flour Prices Escalate in Retail Markets

As wheat prices climb, the cost of flour—the primary staple for millions of Pakistanis—has also increased significantly. In open markets, unpackaged chakki flour is now sold at PKR 110–120 per kilogram, up from previous rates.

Retail prices from flour mills have also surged. A 15-kilogram bag of flour is now being sold for PKR 1,650, while 10-kilogram bags, previously available at PKR 905, have become increasingly scarce in local markets.

These price increases are impacting household budgets, particularly for low- and middle-income families who rely heavily on wheat-based products such as bread, roti, and parathas.

Consumer Concerns and Calls for Action

Consumers have expressed growing anxiety over the affordability of staple foods. The government must take immediate steps to stabilize wheat prices and ensure fair access to flour. Otherwise, the cost of living will rise even further, said a local resident in Bahawalpur.

Many fear that continued price hikes could lead to a broader inflationary spiral, affecting other essential commodities, including rice, pulses, and sugar.

Food Security Experts Warn of Risks

Nutritionists and food security experts are warning that uncontrolled wheat price increases may exacerbate food insecurity in the country. Wheat is a key component of the Pakistani diet, and disruptions in its supply could disproportionately affect vulnerable populations.

Without government intervention, we could see a serious risk of food scarcity in the coming months, said a food policy analyst in Lahore. This is especially concerning for rural communities, where wheat remains the most critical source of calories.

Context: Wheat Market and Government Role

Pakistan is one of the world’s largest wheat producers, yet domestic production often struggles to meet the demand of a growing population exceeding 240 million people. The government typically regulates wheat prices and ensures supply through subsidies and procurement programs. However, recent price spikes suggest these measures are currently insufficient.

Analysts also note that rising fuel costs, transportation challenges, and global commodity trends are contributing factors. International wheat prices have climbed due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions, indirectly influencing local markets.

Outlook

If immediate steps are not taken to stabilize the wheat and flour markets, the effects could ripple across the economy. Rising food prices are a key driver of inflation and could worsen socio-economic inequality.

For now, both consumers and experts are urging the government to act decisively. Measures such as targeted subsidies, improved procurement strategies, and price monitoring could help prevent further escalation and protect households from the rising cost of living.

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